Precise Forecasts Masquerade As Accurate Ones.

First Of All, I Think It's Odd That People Who Cover Politics Wouldn't Have Any Political Views.

People Still Don't Appreciate How Ephemeral Success Is.

Well The Way We Perceive Accuracy And What Accuracy Is Statistically Are Really Two Different Things.

When You Get Into Statistical Analysis, You Don't Really Expect To Achieve Fame. Or To Become An Internet Meme. Or Be Parodied By 'the Onion' - Or Be The Subject Of A Cartoon In 'the New Yorker.' I Guess I'm Kind Of An Outlier There.

I Don't Think You Should Limit What You Read.