Race Is Still The No. 1 Determinant

To The Extent That You Can Find Ways Where You're Making Predictions, There's No Substitute For Testing Yourself On Real-world Situations That You Don't Know The Answer To In Advance.

People Don't Have A Good Intuitive Sense Of How To Weigh New Information In Light Of What They Already Know. They Tend To Overrate It.

You Don't Want To Treat Any One Person As Oracular.

In Baseball You Have Terrific Data And You Can Be A Lot More Creative With It.

Economy Is Not Baseball, Where The Game Is Always Played By The Same Rules.