Mind Is A Machine For Jumping To

Acquisition Of Skills Requires A Regular Environment, An Adequate Opportunity To Practice, And Rapid And Unequivocal Feedback About The Correctness Of Thoughts And Actions.

Establish A Closing Ritual. Know When To Stop Working. Try To End Each Work Day The Same Way, Too. Straighten Up Your Desk. Back Up Your Computer. Make A List Of What You Need To Do Tomorrow.

If Owning Stocks Is A Long-term Project For You, Following Their Changes Constantly Is A Very, Very Bad Idea. It's The Worst Possible Thing You Can Do, Because People Are So Sensitive To Short-term Losses. If You Count Your Money Every Day, You'll Be Miserable.

To Know Whether You Can Trust A Particular Intuitive Judgment, There Are Two Questions You Should Ask: Is The Environment In Which The Judgment Is Made Sufficiently Regular To Enable Predictions From The Available Evidence? The Answer Is Yes For Diagnosticians, No For Stock Pickers. Do The Professionals Have An Adequate Opportunity To Learn The Cues And The Regularities? The Answer Here Depends On The Professionals' Experience And On The Quality And Speed With Which They Discover Their Mistakes.

Except For Some Effects That I Attribute Mostly To Age, My Intuitive Thinking Is Just As Prone To Overconfidence, Extreme Predictions, And The Planning Fallacy As It Was Before I Made A Study Of These Issues.