An Individual Who Expresses High Confidence Probably

People Who Are Cognitively Busy Are Also More Likely To Make Selfish Choices, Use Sexist Language, And Make Superficial Judgments In Social Situations.

There Are Domains In Which Expertise Is Not Possible. Stock Picking Is A Good Example. And In Long-term Political Strategic Forecasting, It's Been Shown That Experts Are Just Not Better Than A Dice-throwing Monkey.

There Are Some Conditions Where You Have To Trust Your Intuition.

The Premise Of This Book Is That It Is Easier To Recognize Other People's Mistakes Than Your Own.

That's One Of The Real Dangers Of Leader Selection In Many Organizations: Leaders Are Selected For Overconfidence.