When Action Is Needed, Optimism, Even Of

The Confidence People Have In Their Beliefs Is Not A Measure Of The Quality Of Evidence But Of The Coherence Of The Story The Mind Has Managed To Construct.

People's Mood Is Really Determined Primarily By Their Genetic Make-up And Personality, And In The Second Place By Their Immediate Context, And Only In The Third And Fourth Place By Worries And Concerns And Other Things Like That.

Policy Makers, Like Most People, Normally Feel That They Already Know All The Psychology And All The Sociology They Are Likely To Need For Their Decisions. I Don't Think They Are Right, But That's The Way It Is.

An Individual Who Expresses High Confidence Probably Has A Good Story, Which May Or May Not Be True.

It's Very Easy For Trusted Companies To Mislead Naive Customers, And Life Insurance Companies Are Trusted.