We Must Become More Comfortable With Probability

The Quest For Certainty In Forecasting Outcomes Can Be The Enemy Of Progress.

Voters' Memories Will Fade Some.

Every Day, Three Times Per Second, We Produce The Equivalent Of The Amount Of Data That The Library Of Congress Has In It's Entire Print Collection, Right? But Most Of It Is Like Cat Videos On Youtube Or Thirteen-year-olds Exchanging Text Messages About The Next 'twilight' Movie.

The Public Is Even More Pessimistic About The Economy Than Even The Most Bearish Economists Are.

There's Always The Risk That There Are Unknown Unknowns.