Voters' Memories Will Fade Some.

A Lot Of Things Can't Be Modeled Very Well.

The Key To Making A Good Forecast Is Not In Limiting Yourself To Quantitative Information.

To Be A Very, Very Minor, Eighth-tier Celebrity, You Realize, 'hey, Celebrities Are Just Like Us.'

Data Scientist Is Just A Sexed Up Word For Statistician.

Almost Everyone's Instinct Is To Be Overconfident And Read Way Too Much Into A Hot Or Cold Streak.