Racism Is Predictable. It's Predicted By Interaction

The Quest For Certainty In Forecasting Outcomes Can Be The Enemy Of Progress.

We Need To Stop, And Admit It: We Have A Prediction Problem. We Love To Predict Things—and We Aren’t Very Good At It.

First Of All, I Think It's Odd That People Who Cover Politics Wouldn't Have Any Political Views.

Well The Way We Perceive Accuracy And What Accuracy Is Statistically Are Really Two Different Things.

People Don't Have A Good Intuitive Sense Of How To Weigh New Information In Light Of What They Already Know. They Tend To Overrate It.