I Think Punditry Serves No Purpose.

If The State Polls Are Right, Then Mr. Obama Will Win The Electoral College. If You Can't Acknowledge That After A Day When Mr. Obama Leads 19 Out Of 20 Swing-state Polls, Then You Should Abandon The Pretense That Your Goal Is To Inform Rather Than Entertain The Public.

To The Extent That You Can Find Ways Where You're Making Predictions, There's No Substitute For Testing Yourself On Real-world Situations That You Don't Know The Answer To In Advance.

Remember, The Congress Doesn't Get As Many Opportunities To Make An Impression With The Public.

Precise Forecasts Masquerade As Accurate Ones.

Caesar Recognized The Omens, But He Didn't Believe They Applied To Him.