I've Become Invested With This Symbolic Power.

The Key To Making A Good Forecast Is Not In Limiting Yourself To Quantitative Information.

We Want To Get 80%-85% Of Predictions Right, Not 100%. Or Else We Calibrated Our Estimates In The Wrong Way.

We Speak For Them. We Imbue Them With Meaning.

Whenever You Have Dynamic Interactions Between 300 Million People And The American Economy Acting In Really Complex Ways, That Introduces A Degree Of Almost Chaos Theory To The System, In A Literal Sense.

The Protestant Reformation Had A Lot To Do With The Printing Press, Where Martin Luther's Theses Were Reproduced About 250,000 Times. And So You Had Widespread Dissemination Of Ideas That Hadn't Circulated In The Mainstream Before.