I Have The Same Friends And The

When Human Judgment And Big Data Intersect There Are Some Funny Things That Happen

We Look At All The Polls, Not Just The Gallup Poll. So, It's Kind Of Like If You Have, You Know, Four Out Of Five Doctors Agree That Reducing Cholesterol Reduces Your Risk Of A Heart Attack, Gallup Is Like The Fifth Doctor.

If You Have Reason To Think That Yesterday's Forecast Went Wrong, There Is No Glory In Sticking To It.

Distinguishing The Signal From The Noise Requires Both Scientific Knowledge And Self-knowledge.

Accountability Doesn't Mean Apologizing.