Distinguishing The Signal From The Noise Requires

All I Know Is That I Have Way More Stuff That I Want To Write About Than I Possibly Have Time To.

In Politics People Build Whole Reputations Off Of Getting One Thing Right.

To The Extent That You Can Find Ways Where You're Making Predictions, There's No Substitute For Testing Yourself On Real-world Situations That You Don't Know The Answer To In Advance.

People Gravitate Toward Information That Implies A Happier Outlook For Them.

I Have The Same Friends And The Same Bad Habits.