A Lot Of The Time Nothing Happens

Any One Game In Baseball Doesn't Tell You That Much, Just As Any One Poll Doesn't Tell You That Much.

If You're Keeping Yourself In The Bubble And Only Looking At Your Own Data Or Only Watching The Tv That Fits Your Agenda Then It Gets Boring.

Well The Way We Perceive Accuracy And What Accuracy Is Statistically Are Really Two Different Things.

You Can Build A Statistical Model And That's All Well And Good, But If You're Dealing With A New Type Of Financial Instrument, For Example, Or A New Type Of Situation - Then The Choices You're Making Are Pretty Arbitrary In A Lot Of Respects.

There's Always The Risk That There Are Unknown Unknowns.