Political Columnists And Sports Pundits Are Rewarded

Some Achieve A Reputation For Great Successes When In Fact All They Have Done Is Take Chances That Reasonable People Wouldn't Take.

Intuitive Diagnosis Is Reliable When People Have A Lot Of Relevant Feedback. But People Are Very Often Willing To Make Intuitive Diagnoses Even When They're Very Likely To Be Wrong.

Negotiations Over A Shrinking Pie Are Especially Difficult Because They Require An Allocation Of Losses. People Tend To Be Much More Easygoing When They Bargain Over An Expanding Pie.

Nobody Would Say, 'i'm Voting For This Guy Because He's Got The Stronger Chin,' But That, In Fact, Is Partly What Happens.

Human Beings Cannot Comprehend Very Large Or Very Small Numbers. It Would Be Useful For Us To Acknowledge That Fact.