I've Probably Failed More Often Than Anybody

Future Is Not Extrapolation Of Past

Communication Always Changes Society, And Society Was Always Organized Around Communication Channels. Two Hundred Years Ago It Was Mostly Rivers. It Was Sea-lanes And Mountain Passes. The Internet Is Another Form Of Communication And Commerce. And Society Organizes Around The Channels.

Any Problem Is An Opportunity. The Bigger The Problem, The Bigger The Opportunity.

Setting An Aggressive Enough Carbon-reduction Goal Will Result In An Appropriate Price For Carbon And Will Help Many A Renewable Technology. Consumer Education Will Help. Most Importantly, Though, Will Be The Continually Declining Cost Trajectory Of The Real Breakthrough In Clean-technology Costs Driven By Research And Innovation. In The End, Private Capital Is The Real Barometer Of Change.

Now It Will Take A Long Time To Scale Biofuels, But I'm The Only One In The World Forecasting Oil Dropping In Price To $35 A Barrel By 2030. I'll Put It On The Record: Oil Will Not Be Able To Compete With Cellulosic Biofuels. If You Do It From Food, The Food Will Get So Expensive You Can't Make Fuel Out Of It.