I'm Against Fashionable Thinking.

My Guess Is That Nuclear Weapons Will Be Used Sometime In The Next Hundred Years, But That Their Use Is Much More Likely To Be Small And Limited Than Widespread And Unconstrained.

Clearly, The First Task Is To Gain Acceptance Of A More Reasonable View Of The Future, One That Opens Possibilities Rather Than Forecloses Them.

From A Scientific Perspective There Is Some Indication That A Nuclear War Could Deplete The Earth's Ozone Layer Or, Less Likely, Could Bring On A New Ice Age - But There Is No Suggestion That Either The Created Order Or Mankind Would Be Destroyed In The Process.

To The Extent That These Advanced Weapons Or Their Components Are Treated As Articles Of Commerce, Perhaps For Peaceful Uses As In The Plowshare Program, Their Cost Would Be Well Within The Resources Available To Many Large Private Organizations.

Projecting A Persuasive Image Of A Desirable And Practical Future Is Extremely Important To High Morale, To Dynamism, To Consensus, And In General To Help The Wheels Of Society Turn Smoothly.