Everything, In Retrospect, Is Obvious. But If

The Arrangement Bore The Same Relation To Actual Finance As Fantasy Football Bears To The Nfl.

The Incentive For The Outsider Is To Attack The System Right Up To The Moment He Is Co-opted By It. The Incentive For The Insider -and This Took Some Getting Used To- Is To Allow Yourself To Be Attacked, And Then Co-opt Your Most Ferocious Attackers, And Their Best Ideas. The Effect On The System As A Whole Is To Make It More Stable, Because Everyone Winds Up Working On Its Behalf.

People Really Don't Like To Hear Success Explained Away As Luck — Especially Successful People. As They Age, And Succeed, People Feel Their Success Was Somehow Inevitable. They Don't Want To Acknowledge The Role Played By Accident In Their Lives. There Is A Reason For This: The World Does Not Want To Acknowledge It Either. If You Use Better Data, You Can Find Better Values; There Are Always Market Inefficiencies To Exploit, And So On. But It Has A Broader And Less Practical Message: Don't Be Deceived By Life's Outcomes. Life's Outcomes, While Not Entirely Random, Have A Huge Amount Of Luck Baked Into Them. Above All, Recognize That If You Have Had Success, You Have Also Had Luck — And With Luck Comes Obligation.

I Didn't Think One Day Something Would Happen That Would Bring Me Back To Wall Street To Write What Is Essentially A Sequel.

One Absolutely Cannot Tell, By Watching, The Difference Between A .300 Hitter And A .275 Hitter. The Difference Is One Hit Every Two Weeks.